Polymarket Nails NYC Democratic Mayoral Primary Upset, Nears $1B Unicorn Valuation
Blockchain-based prediction platform Polymarket has once again demonstrated its uncanny accuracy in forecasting political outcomes, correctly predicting the surprise victory of progressive candidate Zohran Mamdani in the New York City Democratic mayoral primary. The platform's traders swiftly pivoted to Mamdani following an Emerson College poll that revealed his strength in ranked-choice voting scenarios.
The prediction market's success comes as it reportedly closes in on a $200 million funding round at a valuation exceeding $1 billion, with Peter Thiel's Founders Fund leading the charge. This development underscores growing institutional confidence in decentralized forecasting platforms and their potential to disrupt traditional polling methods.
While conventional polls initially favored former Governor Andrew Cuomo, Polymarket's crowd-sourced wisdom proved more prescient. The platform's final projection gave Mamdani a 99% chance of victory before official results confirmed the upset. Rival prediction market Kalshi also adjusted its odds in response to the Emerson poll, though it lacks Polymarket's blockchain infrastructure.